If you’ve been following the off year election results, democrats have been outperforming there 2024 results by an average of a bit over 10%. That shift on average moves all the U.S. house seats up about R+5 to the democrats and hands us a nice working majority, but isn’t quite enough to take back the U.S. Senate. But Saturday we saw a grossly outspent working class democrat win an R+10 or so Texas state Senate seat the republicans have held for decades by 14%!
Ya, I know, this could be a statistical outlier. But no doubt republicans polled this race and they spent millions on what should have been an easy win. And here in Minnesota, we suddenly have republican legislators in deep red districts retiring- Do they know something we don’t? Most likely what were seeing is independent leaning Trump voters remorse covered with a thick coat of ICE’s terrorism and lubed up with Epstein files to the point where no republican can safely stand for election without falling on their electoral ass!
This should change our whole democratic strategy for 2026- We’ll win easily in swing districts so not point in wasting campaign dollars there, contrary to the usual democratic strategy. The best return for our energy and $$$ will be in the R+5 to R+9 districts, and even the reddest districts should be seriously contested- For example, MN7 is a long shot, but with a 20% shift to democrats and a troubled republican incumbent facing challenges in her own party, this race is winnable too!
Sassy Democrat 