Good morning, and a very good one at that- 90,000,000 or so Americans have already voted, and the polling tells us about 2/3rds of those votes are for Biden! With a record 150 million votes predicted to be cast, after accounting for the 3% or so disadvantage caused by the constitutionally authorized gerrymander otherwise known as the electoral college Bidens “win number” is nearly 80 million. But Biden begins Election Day with 60 million votes already in the ballot boxes to Trump’s 30 million or so, a huge deficit that would require a perfect unmarred Election Day vote and then some to overcome. The view is even better in Minnesota- Here’s a link to B rated Public Policy Polling’s latest poll that shows Biden and Senator Tina Smith with double digit leads and an even bigger percentage of the votes already in the ballot box: https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/MinnesotaResultsOctober2020.pdf
In the great DFL vote bank otherwise known as Minneapolis, it gets worse (for the GOP): In 9 of 13 Minneapolis wards turnout is already over 50%, with a couple wards topping 60%. The GOP tried a not just sloppy but gross attempt at voter disenfranchisement by persuading an appeals court to stop the counting of ballots mailed by Election Day but received later. That strategy failed, as darn near every media outlet, even Facebook, got the word out for voters to get any remaining mail ballots to the appropriate elections office ASAP- Multiple eyewitnesses reported lines for early voting extending outside the massive Hennipen County Government Center, on a Saturday! The statewide races are over in Minnesota- With 2/3rds of republicans yet to vote, any appearance by Trumps over armed and under endowed militia at the polls will scare off more GOP voters than DFLers.
Here in western Minnesota’s CD7 a good turnout is 300,000 of the 500,000 or so eligible voters, and the DFL base is about 30% and the GOP about 45%. None the less, moderate democratic Congress Member Collin Peterson and a couple legislators keep winning by appealing to swing voters and maximizing DFL turnout on the Tribal Nations and in micropolitan areas like Moorhead where the DFL has a majority though perhaps a thin one. The vote is spread out and in many cases already voted too- In 2018 only 9 precincts produced over 1000 votes for any DFL candidate and in many rural counties almost every precinct automatically gets mail ballots. This means Trump’s motley militia “men” who are seldom seen solo have a lot of polling places to cover. And even if they pick the less than 10 precincts mostly in swing districts in Moorhead, they’re going to be intimidating two GOP voters for every DFLer… But from a Trump GOP that has failed so spectacularly, can we expect anything less?
And after massively failing to win at the ballot box, what else can the GOP do?…
Sassy Democrat 