Well, it was a secret until the September campaign finance reports popped today. The DFL needs to pick up about a dozen seats to have a bare majority, and the reports show they’ve showered over $10,000 in “outside expenditures” into all of 16 races. Most of those races are against GOP incumbents, and they’re not going to win ’em all or even three quarters of them… They need to target at least twice as many districts as they need to take back the majority. And it ain’t like the MN DFL is taking any big risks- nine of those chosen districts have positive DFL indexes, and they didn’t go deeper than R+4 into republican territory. That index is an artifact of the ’16 Trump wave/Hillary failure, and underestimates the historic DFL strength in many districts… The MN DFL should have targeted every district as deep into the GOP as R+5, contesting 25 races and assuring a DFL house majority if they win only half of them. Then add a second tier of races as deep as R+10 to build a durable supermajority. And finally, give DFL incumbent reps like Paul Marquart in his R+5 district and the half dozen DFL reps who survived in districts Trump won some help- The GOP is targeting them.
We have 134 DFL house candidates and their volunteers working hard to win… The MN DFL needs to give substantial support to more than 16 of them!
Sassy Democrat 